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Methodology & assumptions

RatesLab separates quoted market rates, model assumptions and scenario outputs so users can see what is calculated versus what is assumed.

Cash-to-Capital: carry

For most products:

Annual carry ≈ Principal × Annualized Rate

IBKR cash uses the prototype tiering rule stored in Excel rather than applying the headline rate to the full balance.

Cash-to-Capital: MTM

The educational rate-risk approximation is:

% Price Change ≈ -Duration × Change in Yield

MTM ≈ -Duration × Principal × ΔYield

This is a simplified duration approximation, not full bond repricing.

Overlay scenario scaling

The user-supplied overlay scenario P&Ls are referenced to $50m and scaled to the shared site capital:

Capital Scale = Site Capital / $50,000,000

Maximum drawdown slider

The source scenario P&Ls and returns are calibrated at a 4.0% reference drawdown. The slider is a sizing budget, not predicted realized drawdown:

Overlay Size Multiplier = Selected Max DD / 4.0%

T-bill capital remains on the full selected capital amount while the overlay is resized. Option P&L, total P&L, ROC and annualized return are recalculated dynamically for the selected drawdown budget.

Single source of truth

Both simulators read /data/RatesLab_Model.xlsx. Update product rates and duration assumptions in Cash_To_Capital; update bank/Fed scenarios in Overlay_Scenarios; update defaults in Config.

Download Excel model
Important: illustrative return assumptions are not guaranteed yields. Futures and options can generate losses, margin calls and nonlinear P&L. The website is educational and does not provide personalised investment advice.